Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.728758 5.309601 5.943010 6.686511 7.537201 8.482301 9.614779
2025-01-12 3.835049 4.596289 5.489958 6.622209 8.026476 9.721143 11.936566
2025-01-19 3.128771 3.928902 4.919522 6.246839 7.994852 10.240617 13.380349
2025-01-26 2.784303 3.633920 4.733403 6.277717 8.418368 11.321516 15.626690
2025-02-02 2.583463 3.487187 4.702941 6.483427 9.067268 12.747566 18.508703
2025-02-09 2.394206 3.327456 4.626102 6.599201 9.581630 14.020801 21.320193
2025-02-16 2.226851 3.176488 4.538554 6.677862 10.033777 15.235144 24.188053
2025-02-23 2.082247 3.041404 4.455694 6.745942 10.464462 16.450258 27.208751
2025-03-02 1.895016 2.824063 4.226559 6.557919 10.457263 16.944201 29.054502
2025-03-09 1.757436 2.669790 4.078504 6.480076 10.614360 17.717204 31.483499
2025-03-16 1.633467 2.525920 3.933052 6.389124 10.733273 18.427404 33.882142
2025-03-23 1.591706 2.509413 3.989832 6.641609 11.474478 20.329447 38.844573
2025-03-30 1.499688 2.405782 3.897899 6.634102 11.758909 21.445896 42.468833
2025-04-06 1.407635 2.295163 3.785266 6.579017 11.949134 22.406745 45.931680
2025-04-13 1.272386 2.101062 3.513511 6.208047 11.494323 22.034408 46.433878
2025-04-20 1.213417 2.034729 3.460575 6.239042 11.828540 23.303018 50.830362
2025-04-27 1.185003 2.019760 3.497552 6.443382 12.531765 25.431390 57.607520
2025-05-04 1.145740 1.982177 3.489709 6.558359 13.061273 27.251103 63.967693
2025-05-11 1.104377 1.937631 3.465042 6.636471 13.519469 28.969330 70.390668
2025-05-18 1.064634 1.893200 3.436886 6.704074 13.960886 30.705431 77.193061
2025-05-25 0.997487 1.792640 3.293143 6.517370 13.811566 31.017192 80.145411
2025-06-01 0.948057 1.722822 3.204657 6.440073 13.903600 31.926763 84.963539
2025-06-08 0.900736 1.654178 3.113801 6.349755 13.955358 32.741970 89.666212